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Mobykidz's avatar

I agree on the eye test. Whether Macca had a pre-season or not I think Curtis is playing better and deserves to start ahead of Mac Allister. Yet at Arsenal he did not. So the question is why does Slot keep picking him if he's lacking in fitness? He's on track to play as many minutes as last season. Is he Slot’s undroppable midfielder?

So, thinking from Slot’s perspective is Mac Allister’s “decline” entirely a decline in performance, or partly a decline in measurable value driven by his role? If OBV captures impact rather than importance, is it possible Mac Allister is now being asked to suppress risk rather than create it? The value may not be disappearing so much as being redistributed — with Szoboszlai and Wirtz the beneficiaries.

Yet he put in a good performance against Arsenal but Slot himself suggested against certain styles the team struggle. To me he's looked jaded and slow in a fair few games. He's also lost three mates over the summer so he could be feeling unsettled. Maybe Arsenal will be a boost but Curtis looks the better all rounder in the same role - but Slot keeps picking Macca.

Stephen's avatar

Great stuff Andrew. OBV seems a good model & is another datapoint that matches the eye test re: underperforming XI from last season, i.e. Mo, Macca & Ibou. Ryan's OBV variance was surprising given his increase in goals though most of them were from low xG value stats.

Peak Macca OBV would likely = elite contributions in passing & shooting (late runs into great areas) vs. CM peers. You're right to point out all of the change in his personal life that likely had an impact. Sadly because he's got such a good "football brain", Macca is the one most likely to move on in the new 1-2 seasons as Ryan, Dom & Curt are younger, bigger & better athletes.

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